Saturday, August 11, 2012

Weekly DJIA Charts

Here are the weekly charts for the DJIA components sorted by price. I've included percentage bands from the 50 week moving average.


Big chart-click to enlarge

Big chart-click to enlarge

Sunday, June 17, 2012

MCO update

We are a little overbought here but headed higher.

The SPX and MCO
Click to enlarge

Monday, June 11, 2012

MCO update 6/8/12 - A reversal in the making.

After a rather nasty string of declining days the MCO and SUM Index appear to have reversed indicating that a new rally may be underway. I don't discount the chance of another pullback over the next several days but unless the 10% Index breaks down below -500 again, it should be just viewed as a retest.



The SPX divergences with the MCO
Click to enlarge

Monday, May 21, 2012

MCO Update 5/18/12

We have experienced a general breakdown in this indicator which now indicates the markets need some time to reestablish confidence before a n extended move higher can get underway. While I do not expect it to occur a waterfall decline is still possible. Caution is warrented.
Click to Enlarge
A long term view of the market with the MCO and SUM Indexes. We are very oversold on the MCO and should expect a bounce by Tuesday at the latest. The breakdown is severe enough that I believe we need another two weeks to establish a base again before looking for a reliable reversal.

Tuesday, May 8, 2012

MCO update - dicey but constructive

The last few trading days were a little rougher than I expected but I still expect the markets to work out a positive reversal here. The Climatic Volume Indicator has been in the -25 to -50 area the last four sessions and todays last hour of trading looked like a reversal to me. The SUM Index will probably violate its 13 day moving average tomorrow but this appears like it's a retest from above, a bump and run. Nothing is written in stone but with sentiment so bearish it looks bullish to me.
The SPX for 12/05/06
Click to enlarge